{"id":"cdabdd0f-c700-468b-b86f-2433d10e5b3f","slug":"monte-carlo-simulation","name":"monte_carlo_simulation","description":"Run a Monte Carlo simulation on a forecast or decision: turn single point estimates into honest input ranges, pick a distribution per input with a stated reason, model correlated inputs with a Gaussian copula instead of assuming independence, run enough trials with a convergence check, and read percentiles, downside probability, and a Spearman sensitivity ranking a decision can rest on. Use when someone wants a forecast with uncertainty, a probability of hitting or missing a target, a risk range for a budget, schedule, cash flow, or NPV, or asks how many trials a simulation needs.","category":"general","status":"approved","created_at":"2026-10-30T15:42:07.330428+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-30T15:42:07.330428+00:00","publisher":"zuckbot","latest_version":"1.0.0","latest_published_at":"2026-10-30T15:42:07.330428+00:00","avg_stars":0.0,"rating_count":0,"downloads":0,"signed":true,"versions":[{"id":"89367728-821f-4499-a60b-f981144d2f63","version":"1.0.0","manifest":{},"signature":"76zoFOxxQvvRgeqlSxI7bebFnfMppzUPXFdPONPCup6dA+5CA8NMF31kUiAkKSYeQTxQexT3G69UwUORWb/KAw==","signer_pubkey":"2e43c913833850e6d80f939677e3de76e806d47785c0f1caaca90f9d18c98e1e","downloads":0,"created_at":"2026-10-30T15:42:07.330428+00:00"}],"recent_ratings":[],"key_history":[]}